JPMorgan noted in a report that Hong Kong property stocks will gradually announce their interim or full-year results in the next few months, and the sector's core EPS is expected to fall by an average of 7%, mainly due to lower rental income, pressure on gross margins from development property projects and higher financing costs. Dividend for most property stocks should be flat or slightly higher, but 3 of the 12 stocks are expected to cut their dividends, with WHARF REIC (01997.HK) -0.280 (-1.455%) Short selling $9.47M; Ratio 31.808% and HANG LUNG PPT (00101.HK) -0.040 (-0.626%) Short selling $4.64M; Ratio 14.809% posing higher downside risks according to the broker's current forecasts.
For the sector as a whole, the broker remained cautious and would be selective for individual stocks. More potential non-performing asset disposals could also drive capitalisation rate expansion, leading to further asset depreciation. Even if interest rate cuts materialise, the bank does not expect sustained outperformance.
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The broker preferred SINO LAND (00083.HK) +0.050 (+0.625%) Short selling $1.06M; Ratio 20.349% and LINK REIT (00823.HK) +0.250 (+0.756%) Short selling $30.09M; Ratio 28.394% , and is cautious on NEW WORLD DEV (00017.HK) -0.050 (-0.684%) Short selling $5.35M; Ratio 35.415% and WHARF.
JPM lowered its target price on HANG LUNG PPT (00101.HK) -0.040 (-0.626%) Short selling $4.64M; Ratio 14.809% from $8 to $6.3 and maintained its Neutral rating. The broker's target price on NWD was trimmed from $7.5 to $6.5 with its Underweight rating maintained. The target price on SHK PPT (00016.HK) -0.600 (-0.858%) Short selling $21.95M; Ratio 30.820% was dropped from $72 to $68 with its Neutral rating kept. The target price on SWIREPROPERTIES (01972.HK) -0.340 (-2.673%) Short selling $3.76M; Ratio 28.187% was cut from $18 to $15, and its Overweight rating was maintained. Finally, the broker reduced its target price on WHARF from $22 to $17 and kept its Underweight rating.
(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2024-07-30 12:25.)
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